A recent poll conducted by YouGov has shed light on the voting behavior of those who supported the Conservative Party in the 2019 election. The survey of 5,621 voters revealed that only a small fraction, 11%, of the 2019 Tory voters would now consider voting for Labour. Surprisingly, slightly more, 12%, have shifted their support to Reform UK, a right-leaning party positioned to the right of the Conservatives.
This data highlights the challenges faced by Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party in attracting former Tory voters. The fact that Reform UK has managed to attract more ex-Tory voters than Labour reflects the difficulties that Labour faces in wooing those who previously supported the Conservative Party.
It is worth noting that less than half, specifically 40%, of the 2019 Tory voters expressed their intention to stick with the Conservatives if an election were to be held tomorrow. Additionally, 23% of these voters are uncertain about their decision, while 7% stated they would not vote at all.
For Conservative strategists, winning back former Tory voters from the 2019 campaign is crucial in their pursuit for electoral success in the future. Consequently, the party’s messaging and policies are tailored to target this specific group of voters. As the percentage of those choosing the Conservatives has decreased from 44% in the previous election to 24% presently, it is no surprise that the party places great importance on these ex-Tory voters.
While the limited number of Tory-to-Labour converts may provide a glimmer of hope for the Conservative Party, it does not drastically alter their position in the polls. Despite their best efforts, winning over this group alone may not guarantee a victory for the Tories in future elections. Nevertheless, this survey serves as a reminder of the challenges faced by Labour and their need to engage and attract a broader voter base to secure electoral success.
1. How many Tory voters from the 2019 election have shifted to Labour?
According to the YouGov poll, only 11% of the 2019 Tory voters would consider voting for Labour.
2. Which party has attracted more ex-Tory voters than Labour?
Surprisingly, Reform UK, a party positioned to the right of the Conservatives, has managed to attract slightly more ex-Tory voters than Labour, with 12% of the 2019 Tory voters shifting their support to Reform UK.
3. What percentage of 2019 Tory voters say they will stick with the Conservatives?
Approximately 40% of the 2019 Tory voters stated that they would stick with the Conservatives if there was an election tomorrow.
4. How many 2019 Tory voters are uncertain about their decision?
The poll revealed that 23% of the 2019 Tory voters are uncertain about their decision regarding future elections.
5. How many 2019 Tory voters would not vote at all?
According to the survey, 7% of the 2019 Tory voters stated that they would not vote if there was an election tomorrow.